Take a chance
The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes.
- By 2060 the total population of humans on earth will be less than it is today.
- By 2020, bio-terror or bio-error will lead to one million casualties in a single event.
- By the year 2020 solar electricity will be as cheap or cheaper than that produced by fossil fuels.
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